http://blogs.birminghampost.net/business/

Right, let's get fracking

By Andrew Whitehead on Apr 23, 12 02:19 PM in

I write this blog shortly after a leisurely stroll through downtown New Orleans, on my way back from a meeting with a US oil and gas lawyer (and there are plenty round here, believe me, and many of them are still enjoying the BP litigation bonanza).

What a terrific view from his office 30 floors up. The Mississippi snakes through the city in the near distance, today graced by a handful of warships in port to mark the bicentennial commemoration of the Battle of New Orleans in 1812 (known here as the second war of independence). The battle saw the Royal Navy get comprehensively thrashed by a much smaller US navy (as I'm being reminded regularly - you would have thought they would have gotten over us burning down the White House by now).

But what the panoramic view of New Orleans also reveals is a total absence of renewable energy. It's scorching hot, with a humid breeze, and not a solar panel or turbine in sight, anywhere. This is most definitely oil and gas country. Indeed, they have so much gas down here that they're building a new terminal at the port to export it, liquefied, on tankers.

And that leads me to fracking (or, strictly, fracturing). The US has taken the lead in developing shale gas fields, with 27% of the overall US natural gas production now coming from shale gas. That, and a warm winter, has helped lead to a sharp drop in US gas prices.

Back in the UK, fracking for shale gas is still in its infancy.

It is just a year since Cuadrilla Resources suspended its fracking activities near Blackpool after the area was hit with a series of minor earth tremors. Investigations since have laid the blame squarely at the door of the 'frackers'. However, in a report from a government panel of experts published last week, we are now told the risks are minimal and that activities should resume, albeit under strict regulation. A formal decision is expected soon, potentially unlocking significant UK shale reserves.

Interestingly the report makes a case for increased monitoring of seismic activity during fracking, with operations suspended immediately if tremors of magnitude 0.5 or above are triggered. Cuadrilla Resources had proposed a not unsurprisingly higher threshold of 1.7 magnitude.

To put these into perspective the quake in Lincolnshire in 2008, which shook Birmingham, was a 5.2 magnitude quake. However, because the Richter scale is a base-10 logarithmic scale, a 5.2 quake equates to the vibrations caused by about 400 tons of TNT exploding and a 0.5 equates to a hand grenade going off - thank you Wikipedia. So, in relative terms, it may not take much for the threshold to be breached and operations suspended; strict regulation indeed, at least in relation to the quake risk. .
Nonetheless, are we about to enter another golden age for gas, in what many are describing as the second 'dash for gas'?

Well, there are many vested interests at stake which make things complicated. Take the renewables industry, which fears that a new dash for gas could result in lower gas prices, which would change the underlying economic fundamentals of renewable energy, which in turn could curtail the development of renewable technologies.

Certainly that's the worry in the US, where shale gas has already transformed the energy landscape and now risks not only restricting the growth of renewable energy's share of electricity but also pushing back the development of carbon capture and storage (CCS).
.
For the UK, with steady progress along a path to a low carbon future, our aim must be a diverse energy mix, which means a stable investment environment for the likes of wind, solar, biogas and tidal, and of course CCS. The green light for fracking should not throw us off course.

Perhaps I'm fretting unduly. The US is a big country, without the same pressures on space and development that we see in the UK. Nimbyism, exemplified by the reaction of many to the rise of the onshore wind turbines, and now seemingly enshrined to some extent in our planning system thanks to the concept of localism, could mean we see communities in revolt at the prospect of earth tremors quite literally shaking the shires to their foundations.

3 Comments

Tony said:

I'm sure oil companies would do anything they could to block other renewable energy companies dominating the market. We have the technology to become a renewable nation, but we choose not too.

Hydraulic fracturing may be a timely solution but the negative reactions regarding the idea can be expected because of the controversies surrounding it so the sooner these issues are resolved the better for everyone.

Business authors

David Bailey

David Bailey - Prof David Bailey, Coventry University Business School
My postings | David Bailey's RSS feed My feed

Stuart Pemble

Stuart Pemble - Construction Lawyer, Mills & Reeve
My postings | Stuart Pemble's RSS feed My feed

John Clancy

John Clancy - Birmingham City Councillor and director of mediafuturesalert.com and justliteracy.com
My postings | John Clancy's RSS feed My feed

John Samuels

John Samuels - Professor of Business Finance, Birmingham Business School
My postings | John Samuels's RSS feed My feed

Chris Tomlinson

Chris Tomlinson - Chris Tomlinson is the founder of social media and online PR agency Friend (frienddigital.com)
My postings | Chris Tomlinson's RSS feed My feed

Andrew Whitehead

Andrew Whitehead - Senior partner at law firm SGH Martineau, leading the firm's Energy & Climate Change practice.
My postings | Andrew Whitehead's RSS feed My feed

Keith Gabriel

Keith Gabriel - A Birmingham-based PR Account Manager
My postings | Keith Gabriel's RSS feed My feed

Beverley Nielsen

Beverley Nielsen - Lecturer, Design Management, at the Birmingham Institute of Art & Design, BCU
My postings  | Beverley Nielsen'a RSS feed My feed

Mike Loftus

Mike Loftus - Director of News from the Future Ltd. Writing on the trials of setting up your own business
My postings | Mike Loftus's RSS feed My feed

Richard Halstead

Richard Halstead - Midlands region director for EEF, the manufacturers organisation.
My postings | Richard Halstead's RSS feed My feed

Karl Edge

Karl Edge - partner at KPMG in Birmingham, specialising in automotive, manufacturing and house building sectors.
My postings | Karl Edge's RSS feed My feed

Peter Owen

Peter Owen - Managing director for construction firm Willmott Dixon Midlands.
My postings | Peter Owen's RSS feed My feed

Doug Mahoney

Doug Mahoney - International Trade Director at UK Trade & Investment in the West Midlands.
My postings | Doug Mahoney's RSS feed My feed

Dr Steven McCabe

Dr Steven McCabe - director of research degrees for Birmingham City Business School.
My postings | Dr Steven McCabe's RSS feed My feed

Francis Greene

Francis Greene - Professor of Small Business and Entrepreneurship, at the University of Birmingham.
My postings

Alan Gilmour

Alan Gilmour - Director at Cogent Elliott, experienced in marketing, brand development and customer relationship management.
My postings

Latest Birmingham Post Lifestyle blog

Lifestyle Blog

Birmingham Post staff and guest bloggers from the midlands give you the lowdown on what's happening in your region and some musings on culture in the UK and beyond.

Latest Birmingham Post Science blog

Latest Birmingham Post Sport blog

News Blog

Birmingham Post staff and guest bloggers from Birmingham and the midlands inform and entertain on all sporting matters.

Keep up to date

Sponsored Links