Banking: Time for a Real Inquiry and Real Reform
The Big Banks have some of the best PR in the country and always seems to have a neat story to explain why they are so important to the UK economy and how 'over regulation' (meaning of course any regulation at all) could damage the UK plc's greatest asset.
The PR spin is adjusted depending on what fiasco has just engulfed them (the credit crunch, going cap in hand to the government for frequent bail outs, mis-selling to SMEs, rigging the LIBOR market etc) but centres on three lines of attack: 1. the City employs a lot of people; 2. It's a Very Important Part (VIP you might say) of the UK economy; and 3. Its innovative products benefit customers.
Well, an excellent new report by The Centre for Research on Socio-Cultural Change (CRESC) blows a big hole in that carefully constructed narrative. In 'Scapegoats aren't enough: A Leveson for the Banks', researchers argue that the fundamental defects in the UK financial system are so deep that they require a Leveson-style inquiry (and by implication not a narrow LIBOR-focused parliamentary inquiry) which has a broad judicial remit to investigate the banking business models and the cultures within them. In addition, they argue that any such inquiry panel should involve a broad membership from across society so as to ensure that 'finance does not report on finance'.
An Leveson-style inquiry is seen as vital by the researchers because of the UK's need for a "fundamental redefinition of the social and economic roles of finance. Banks must become public utilities with the duty to serve the wider economy, not players in casinos."
The new CRESC policy briefing argues that these deep-seated problems won't be solved by firing a few top bankers, prosecuting a few white-collar criminals, or even by conducting an inquiry into the workings of LIBOR, necessary though all these are.
They argue that: the claimed economic benefits of the City for the 'real' economy are an illusion, the product of effective PR over the years by the City elite; that the PR offensive has been effective because the City has enjoyed unique privileges in the government of finance, and unique access to top policy makers; and that the result is that the City is a web of markets proliferating increasingly complex and risky financial instruments that do little or nothing to promote welfare or efficiency in the wider economy.
Last time round, the UK government bailed out the banks but failed to follow up on real reform, in part because the City engaged in a huge PR campaign so as to see off more radical change. There's now a second chance to make real change of the sort I've been suggesting over many weeks in this column. That should involve a fundamental rethink of our banking system to serve households and small firms, and should include splitting up the 'too big to fail' banks.
So what's to be done?
The CRESC report picks up on a number of themes I've been banging on about for quite a while in this blog, and there are seven areas of reform I'd like to flag up from the report, with some of my own thoughts added on how this could be done:
Firstly, the Vickers Commission's idea of putting a 'firewall' between the retail and investment arms of the big banks was never enough, in part because the City employs some of the brightest brains who will find a clever way around such regulation. A complete separation of utility and casino banking is needed, as I argued last year. Vickers was always too little too late and events have anyway moved on.
Secondly - and as John Clancy has noted here at the Birmingham Post - the Bank of England's provision of liquidity for the banking system through QE has effectively kept capital-destroying 'zombie banks' on life-support. As the CRESC researchers note, this has effectively diminished the impetus for more serious reforms. Never mind as well the fact that the constipated banks have simply sat on much of the QE cash that has been injected into them. Meanwhile an austere fiscal policy has reduced aggregate demand in the economy, and hence attractive lending opportunities for banks. A genuine 'Plan B' is needed to create the space for banking reform.
Thirdly, as the CRESC researchers note, rebalancing the economy actually needs a smaller investment banking sector. The CRESC policy brief highlights how the social contribution of investment banking to the UK economy is either negligible or negative. They also note that the size, complexity and opacity of the modern banking system makes modern finance near ungovernable:
"the task is therefore to take the more radical step of shrinking and simplifying the investment banking sector to drastically diminish socially useless speculative activity and leave behind a smaller but more effective system which acts as the servant of industry and wider society rather than the master".
One way to do this would be through a financial transactions tax, something I've blogged about here before.
Fourthly, incentives need to be re-engineered. As a first step this could come via the taxing of bonuses, and more importantly by regulating compensation ratios.
Fifthly, as the CRESC report notes, there really is a need to foster diversity in the banking system. As I've noted before, picking up on the work of my old boss Professor Jonathan Michie, a diversity of ownership types and business models can help ensure diversity in corporate governance, in the risk appetite of banks, in incentive structures and bonuses, in policies and practices, and in organisations' behaviours and outcomes.
In other words, having a much bigger, more vibrant and well run mutual sector can offer a bulwark against financial contagion, especially when big shareholder-owned plc banks dominate and unbalance our financial system. So fostering such diversity should be a key part of reforms of the banking system.
Sixthly, there is a need to break up the big banks. These have been 'too big to fail', limit competition, and they engage in high levels of lobbying so as to prevent real reform. We need to break the banks up - preferably on regional lines as we've been arguing for here.
Finally, as I argued only a few days ago, there is a need to make the nationalised banks act in the public interest. We really do need a state-backed small business investment bank, and the easiest way to do this would be to fashion it out of RBS. But other banks shouldn't be let off the hook either given the huge amount of public support they have had.
So rather than Merlin's meaningless gross lending targets, how about a net lending target figure for the bailed-out banks, with banks being taxed on any shortfall on lending? That might focus minds in those banks on figuring out which small firms were really worth lending to, in contrast with the head office 'computer says no' credit-rating process that the big banks pass off as business lending decision-making these days.
All in all, it's time for some pretty big reforms.
Professor David Bailey works at Coventry University Business School
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Well written up! It's much informative and cooperative for the new seekers. Thanks for a pleasant presentation of a critical topic.
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Prof Bailey,
Trust you are well.
So when did you become such an expert on Banks? Have you ever worked for one?
Let me put you straight on a few things young man;
1/ The reason Banks aren't lending to SME's is because these SME's have shot balance sheets and unconvincing business plans. Also, the Banks are now required to hold more capital, so obviously they will not lend so much. Had this approach been adhered to then we would never have had the credit crisis. I know you don't want to accept it, but the banking/credit crisis happened because banks were borrowing money to businesses and individuals that could not afford to pay it back. The Banks were also borrowing more money than they actually held in deposit and were themselves borrowing money on the money markets, the so called "casino banking". A recipe for disaster.
By the way, Advantage West Midlands also never gave grants to these SME's with shot balance sheets and unconvincing business plans( oh, and you never did answer my question about how little money AWM gave to support SME's, yet you were a fan of theirs weren't you?).
2/ You say "there is a need to make the nationalised banks act in the public interest". So which banks are these then? UK PLC holds 41% of Lloyds Banking Group shares, and 83% of RBS. So they're not nationalised. To be nationalised UK PLC would have to hold 100% of the shares, but sorry they don't.
3/ It's becoming boring listening to the endless repeated drivel about taxing bankers bonuses. How about we completely do away with the bonuses being paid to these "evil bankers", but then lets also do away with those being paid to incompetent "public servants" (I'll give you examples of real bonus payments if you like, although you would find it upsetting).
4/ Banks are businesses, and they are run to make a profit. So get over it. Or do you want them to become reliant on the tax payer for ever and ever, like many of our regions quangos?
5/ You say we should break up the Banks. How will you do that? How will you apportion the shares to the shareholders? Also, for example, Lloyds have spent millions and millions of pounds integrating HBOS into their systems and processes. So how much money would you be prepared to fork out to reverse it all, or is it not important how much it would cost as it's not your personal money but taxpayers/shareholders money? It's very easy to come out with these bold statements, but it's a lot more difficult, if not impossible, to carry them through. That's why you talk about business matters and you don't actually run a business do you?
6/ You say that you want a Leveson style enquiry. So that means you want to spend millions of pounds of taxpayers money to have the "evil bankers" swear an oath on the bible and then tell lie after lie, have a selective memory and then never actually be criminally prosecuted for anything? Sounds like a great plan.
7/ You say that the Banks have too much influence and PR. Is that more than any other business sector. What about utility companies, they seem to be able to do what they like and rip off the consumer? And we can't choose to live without electricity, gas and water, but we can choose to not have a Bank. What about HMRC and the UKBA, are they doing a competent job and are they good value for the taxpayer? Oh I forgot, you're only interested in attacking the Banks.
8/ I do agree that some of the Banks have lost their moral compass, and have lost sight of what is right and wrong. However, so has every other industry sector. And that includes the public sector, which is many times worse. I'll give you specific examples if you like, but then you wouldn't want them, as it'll shatter you illusions.
Finally, as always I respect your opinion, but as always you are wrong about your ideas and views.
Regards,
Mr Srutineer.
Pretty sound analysis and recommendations from David Bailey, as usual.
The chronic mendacity of the UK banking sector needs to be comprehensively opened up to the glare of independent, informed analysis. A Leveson-type enquiry would be pretty toothless (as already demonstrated by Leveson's present game-show).
The idea of a proper public enquiry, to report by the end of the summer is a pathetic response to the real need to expose the criminal, cynical and anti-customer stance of the banks over many years.
Scheduling such an enquiry during the long summer Parliamentary recess merely provides a lengthy opportunity for the bankers and their PR machines to rehearse their vacuous reasons for not noticing what was actually going on within their institutions. Senior managers are responsible for the actions of their underlings, who incidentally have similar responsibilities for their own actions, and cannot be allowed to wriggle off the hook.
The bottom lines of this affair are:
(a) Warnings were give up to 5 years ago by US analysts (e.g. Carrick Mollenkamp, Reuters) who expressed deep concern in 2007-08 in Wall Street and the City, including having discussions with the Libor gang and the British Banking Association (BBA), neither of whom took much notice, let alone any meaningful action. As a result, a number of banks who were operating on shaky ground continued to ply their trade in the murky surroundings inhabited by this group. I see this as further evidence of my Third Law of Management: "Scum floats to the top."
(b) LIBOR was, and still is, an unreliable way to set inter-bank borrowing and lending rates. The system needs to be replaced by a system using REAL (rather than fictional) rates, so that the processes are built on firmer ground than the quicksands previously adopted.
(c) Replacement of toothless and inept governance of banks and other financial institutions is both an urgent and necessary requirement. The FSA has demonstrated little enthusiasm for a fight, and the Bank has adopted the role of spectator and engaged in pathetic hand-wringing, while the ordinary users of banking facilities have endured many years of shoddy service, contemptuous attitudes from bankers and, to cap it all, taxpayers' money has been thrown at the banks with no real strings attached, in deference to the banks' common mantra, "We are too big to fail." Well, let's see, and call their bluff. If bankers really do want to slope off to New York, Singapore, the Cayman Islands, etc., let them do so. Despite present evidence to the contrary, there must be some competent and honest people in banking who can take their places. Preferably at realistic income levels and no more obscene bonuses for just doing their job and passing "Go". Enough!
"Pretty sound analysis and recommendations from David Bailey, as usual"
Really? So when Prof Bailey talks about the "nationalised banks act in the public interest" who is he referring to? The only bank that was nationalised by the UK Government was Northern Rock, and that is now again privatised (Northern Rock Plc being bought by the Virgin Money). Or does he think that RBS and LBG are nationalised? Maybe he should let the City and shareholders know this amazing fact.
It's not difficult to see why the UK is in a complete and utter mess....
Regards,
Mr Srutineer.