Homeward Bound? Seizing Manufacturing Onshoring Opportunities. Part 2
This is the second of three blogs which develops and extends my recent Birmingham Post column on 'onshoring' opportunities in manufacturing which can be found here. The first blog in this series can be found here. Part 3 is on Friday.
As highlighted in earlier blogs, for various reasons the possibility of repatriating certain manufacturing activities - and especially the sourcing of some components back to the UK - does offer potential, particularly in terms of rebuilding some of the UK's fractured supply chains.
The latter has been identified by researchers - such as those at the Centre for Research on Socio-Cultural Change (CRESC) - as a key weakness of the UK's manufacturing base. Froud et al (2011: see here), for example, note that in the UK's largely foreign owned branch assembly plants, broken supply chains effectively undermine high British content and limits domestic backward linkages.
The danger here is that attempting to foster 'rebalancing' and manufacturing revival is superficially attractive but could simply mean more assembly in the UK, with increased spending on components and other intermediate products then leaking abroad. Work by CRESC notes the example of JCB, where the British content of its diggers declined from 96% by value in 1979 to just 36% by 2010.
In other work CRESC has highlighted the case of Bombardier; while arguing for a more sophisticated government procurement policy to support jobs at Bombardier jobs, it also stresses the effects of broken supply chains which limit the upstream national benefits of the firm's activities in the UK (Froud et al, 2011: see here).
Of course, increased international trade coordinated by multinational firms across borders has been a key feature of the 'deeper' form of globalisation witnessed in recent years, and this involves more sourcing of components by manufacturers across borders in general.
But the CRESC research is especially interesting in highlighting that the trend of overseas sourcing from UK based firms has been especially pronounced; in British machinery and vehicles some 50% of intermediate purchases are imported as against just 30% in Germany where the propensity to import is much lower (Froud, 2011).
Similarly, while the recent news of GM's Ellesmere Port being saved from closure after a landmark deal on flexibility and wages was very welcome, at present only 25% of the components going into Astra cars assembled at Ellesmere Port come from the UK. This puts into stark contrast how fractured and weakened local supply chains have become as GM - like other assemblers - shifted sourcing out of the UK.
That needs to change, and there is some hope that it could, with a bit of help. Under GM's latest plans for the plant, costs will reduced by running three shifts a day, increasing output, more flexible working but also by sourcing more parts locally in the UK - a very recent trend given higher transport costs making local sourcing a more competitive option.
In fact, Ellesmere Port was seen as vulnerable to possible closure in part precisely because it currently sources a large proportion of components from mainland Europe and exports assembled cars back to the continent. As well as huge effort by workers and unions to save the plant, government support was also important, and the challenge now is to use that support so as to foster spillovers in terms of wider capacity building in the supply chain.
On the latter, the Coalition government has recently unveiled a £125 million Advanced Manufacturing Supply Chain Initiative (AMSCI) to help develop local suppliers around the UK's major manufacturers (including auto). The fund is aimed at supply chain companies and can be used for capital expenditure, skills and training, and R&D projects. The scheme aims to build on an earlier auto-focused Regional Growth Fund bid by several Local Enterprise Partnerships (LEPs).
While a welcome start, the overall amount of funding on offer, £125 million, is limited, and due to the minimum project threshold value of £2 million, bids often need to be from several companies clustering together. Extending the scheme so that smaller firms can directly access the support available seems critical, especially when the lack of access to finance is a major issue for such firms - more on that later in the week.
Professor David Bailey works at Coventry University Business School
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Firstly, I'm sure firms will always procure locally if it is financially viable for them to do so. Private firms are (should be!!!) only concerned about profit, as it is profit that will allow them to survive and grow. This is a simple business fact.
Secondly, as I've previously said it's a complete myth that any company that has a good viable idea, and is willing to invest some of their own personal money, cannot get an existing bank to lend to them. However, it is true that our existing banks do not lend to non-viable businesses that have shot balance sheets and that do not want to risk any of their own personal money in their own business. So are you seriously trying to say that if a start up or established company has actual evidence of orders and a demand for its product or potential product, that a bank will not lend to them? Please get real.
Thidly, I have seen with my own eyes why a uk manufacturer procures from sources outside of the UK. Without naming the company, a manufacturer switched from a UK supplier to a German supplier for certain components. Not only was the component quality better and the deliver more reliable/flexible, but the whole process from start to finish was cheaper! It was therefore a complete no brainer!
Finally, you stated/quoted the following;
"But the CRESC research is especially interesting in highlighting that the trend of overseas sourcing from UK based firms has been especially pronounced; in British machinery and vehicles some 50% of intermediate purchases are imported as against just 30% in Germany where the propensity to import is much lower"
There is a very simple reason for the above, Germany has a large, strong and efficient manufacturing base. They still manufacture just about everything, and have some real quality brands.
We live in a global economy, and the mistakes and arrogance of successive UK Governments means we can no longer compete.
Regards,
Mr Srutineer.
There's in-an-ivory-tower academia and then there's whacked-round-the-head-and-left-bleeding-and-battered reality:
'Similarly, while the recent news of GM's Ellesmere Port being saved from closure after a landmark deal on flexibility and wages was very welcome... , ...As well as huge effort by workers and unions to save the [GM Ellesmere Port]plant, government support was also important, and the challenge now is to use that support so as to foster spillovers in terms of wider capacity building in the supply chain.'
- it doesn't matter a jot whether the workers of the GM Ellesmere Port plant offer to work for tuppence ha'penny, offer up their firstborns to Dan Akerson in GM HQ, or whether the UK taxpayers, through their government, throw ten million, a hundred million, a billion pounds in QE funny-money, in effectively bribes to GM, to save the plant - Vauxhall/Opels ain't selling.
Academia can bang on about pan-European inter-plant wage costs differentials; the presence or otherwise of a facilitating/enabling industrial policy by the local/regional/national government; or the sophistication of the supply chain management organisation; blah, blah, blah.
The fact is GM's Opel/Vauxhall marque is in serious, probably terminal trouble. Its share of the European market is down 15% in the first half of 2012, to less than 7% of the overall market; Hyundai/Kia combined are less than a percentage point behind them; Opel/Vauxhall's motherplant, Ruesselsheim, is about to announce short-time working, to reduce unsold inventory. Ellesmere Port will likely never see the new Astra model promised for 2015 onwards, as by then GM Europe will be down to a husk, with most of its production being supplied from Asia and eastern Europe, if GM itself hasn't gone bust again by then.
The only comparative brightspot for GM Opel/Vauxhall is UK sales. Why? Because they are almost giving cars away in the UK, to anyone with a pulse. The Astra is being flogged on 0% interest financing, 5 years to pay, and a £1,000 deposit, GIVEN by Vauxhall, plus a further £1,000 off the list price of some 5-door models. How is this possible? Because most of the finance is being provided by Santander, not GMAC/Ally.
GMAC/Ally are notorious for signing up 'sub-prime'/poor credit risk punters, but even they have been overtaken by Santander UK bank. Santander are only able to do this as they know that they can get back-door, almost unlimited funding from the European Central Bank, for their parent bank in Spain, and if it all goes wrong, with punters unable to keep up their payments on the car for up to five years, which it will, the bad loans will be dumped over to the ECB, for Europe's taxpayers to bail out and write off, taking the loss, making Europeans higher taxed and poorer, so less able to buy/make the repayments on cars/consumption generally, requiring more 'innovative' financing solutions by the vendors/funding banks for 'sub-prime' customers - by now the vast, vast majority - and so the vicious circle of decline continues until the whole system must inevitably collapse.
Can we please get real with this debate of 'on-shoring', denser, localised supply chains and so on. Anyone with a feel for what's happening on the ground will/should be able to tell you that these issues are being swamped by the overriding issue of survival, for many, many businesses, not just for GM Opel/Vauxhall, due to the crushing of people's real incomes, due to the massively rising cost of living - disguised in official figures - and the dearth of good-paying, permanent jobs.
By sending UK wages to China/India levels, through temping, unpaid internships, importing millions of migrants to drive up competition for jobs, you cannot expect these same people to then be able to afford to pay for the goods they make. Henry Ford, the master of mass production, appreciated this a century ago, but today we turn a blind eye, 'hope for the best', apply for our 'working tax credits', become wards of the state, to subsidise below-subsistence pay levels, and discuss arcane supply chain theory instead. Anything to avoid discussing the 800lb gorilla in the room. Come on!!!
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