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Black Day for Black Cab firm

By David Bailey on Oct 22, 12 02:00 PM in Automotive


Just a few months ago the Spice Girls were dancing on top of their cabs in front of a global audience at the Olympics closing ceremony
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But today Black cab maker Manganese Bronze announced that it has failed in its attempts to secure a rescue package from its Joint venture (JV) partner Geely and has called in the administrators. The announcement from the Coventry-based firm in a statement to the London Stock Exchange.

After announcing the suspension of black cab production in the wake of a steering defect and recall of 400 cabs last week, the firm was pinning hopes on a £15m rescue package from its Chinese JV partner Geely. But after talks last week failed to find a deal, administration was inevitable.

That recall had anyway came hot on the heels of disappointing results, with losses widening last year to £4.7m after a major accounting cock-up linked to a new IT system, and a slump in orders for its iconic black can in the key London market.

Manganese had said recently that overseas sales last year (up by 6.3% to 504 cabs) failed to compensate for a drop in UK sales (down by 23% to just 577 cabs) and that the firm was unlikely to return to profit in the final quarter of 2012 (it has been losing money since 2008). Manganese had previously said that it would be back in profit this year.

As I blogged a few weeks ago, it was all a bit worrying for a firm with just £2.8 million in the bank. Manganese owes Geely around £19m for components and vehicles.

Operating margins last year were squeezed by supply chain issues (importing components all the way from China can't help) as well as increased warranty costs. The firm's shares had dropped by 75% since April, from a peak of around 40p in April to 9p in October, before being suspended last week after the recall and suspension of production.

As well as its home-made spectacular own goals, Manganese has of late blamed the weak UK economy, global economic uncertainty, and a delay in meeting an order for 1,000 taxis from Azerbaijan for poor results.

But as I've said before, there's more to it than that.

While the reputation of Manganese's iconic black cabs has improved in recent years, the sad fact remains that the TX4 cab is an old, heavy design and new entrants like Eco City (which uses a Mercedes-Benz Vito platform) have been steadily taking market share.

That's not surprising as big firms like Mercedes can take one of their mass produced vans and work with niche players like Eco to convert it to a taxi, thus keeping costs down. And with Nissan about to enter the market, things were anyway about the get even tougher for Manganese. The firm had effectively been over-taken by new technology, production methods and the economics of the industry.

Manganese said today that after the failure to secure funding "the board has therefore concluded that the group is no longer a going concern and has filed notice of intention to appoint administrators." It also said that a quick resolution of the product recall announced on October 12 remained the top priority for the group in administration.

Manganese stated that "the board remains hopeful that the fundamental strengths of the company, the TX4 model and its global reputation will provide the platform for a successful business in the future."

But whether or not a viable business model can actually be carved out for Manganese under new ownership is now the key question. The tie-up with Geely through the JV is anyway critical for the firm and complicates ownership in the short-run by another party.

Whether Geely will pick up the firm on-the-cheap out of administration is an interesting question. If it does, there is of course the risk of another lift-and-shift of what remains of assembly (think MG Rover and LDV) out to China, although some assembly in the UK may be useful for branding purposes.

Ultimately, if it's to survive, the brand needs a big backer able to take a mass produced platform and convert it to taxi. That may or may not be Geely.

Professor David Bailey works at Coventry University Business School

3 Comments

Beverley Nielsen said:

Interesting article David, and sad to see this fate for such an iconic brand and all those involved with it. I hope we can see some sort of sensible rescue package and if this comes through it would be great to see this brand revived with some 'new takes' on this popular design classic

p kelly said:

See a parallel? LTI Black Cabs featuring at the Olympics; Jaguar Land Rover's product placement splurge in the new Bond Skyfall film?


Sorry boys and girls, in the real, big bad world, fawning media reviews, PR flummery and London-centric advertising make-believe do not trump real product development, sustained investment, and general, slogging hard work on the fundamentals.


What should be the specific question about Manganese Bronze/London Taxis International is where has all the money gone? What happened to a five year ago near quarter billion pounds valued business? Far from Geely being the villain of the piece, labelled already as another probable johnny foreigner "lifter and shifter" of LTI's assets, the question should be asked was Geely itself duped into buying a fifth of the business back in 2009 at a massively over-inflated price, at around £2.50 a share. Did the directors of Manganese Bronze Holdings sell any share options before the latest, final share price collapse? Why did an in fact cottage industry/jobbing shop outfit like Manganese, turning out fewer than 2,000 units a year, buying in most of its mechanicals, like the complete powertrain from Fiat(VM and Chrysler), so in effect just a low-volume coach builder, ever get such a ridiculously, potentially fraudulent high value, and why do people still believe there is anything in that operation in Coventry of any real, intrinsic worth.


1950s icons don't cut the mustard or make the payroll sixty years down the line. I doubt very much Geely will want what's left of the assets of LTI. The management of Geely should be ashamed they ever got suckered in by the pin stripped, snakeoil salesmen of the Manganese Bronze Holdings board. Geely have far more pressing concerns anyway, like its substantial Volvo acquisition and keeping that afloat, not some 1950s throwback, two-bob outfit in the West Midlands.


In the UK there's far too much PR hype over hard, cold, on the ground reality. Just taking the automotive sector, if one went by the media one would think the recent UK automotive industry story is one of success, without exception, going from one record to another. What the media hacks don't tell the plebeian citizens is the likes of Lola Cars going under in the last few weeks; the story of Cosworth, the engine maker, and its owners initially trying to float the company publicly at a massively unrealistic £250m, but now being forced to try to trade sell it for £100m, and still finding no buyers, or mugs rather. Then there's Lotus Cars, which the media told us until quite recently was bouncing back and so on, but actually has basically stopped producing, is threatened with being sued by its suppliers for non-payment, has around £250m in total debt, and is looking like being wound up before not too long by its Malaysian owners, tired of the constant losses and BS always 'jam tomorrow' from the local management.


And then there's General Motors in the UK, which the media told us a few months ago had scored a great victory over its German sister operation. Now we find the reality that GM Europe's Vauxhall and Opel operations may well be integrated with Peugeot's, if not sold outright by GM to PSA, meaning a vast rationalisation of Vauxhall and Opel's works, making Ellesmere Port and Luton's future highly uncertain.


And then there's the biggie, Jaguar, which the media has sung the praises of constantly over the last few years as a huge success story. On the ground the media ain't fooling anyone. Jaguar last month delivered fewer than 3,000 units worldwide. see: http://www.autonews.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20121015/OEM/310159797/jaguar-land-rover-sales-dip-adds-pressure-on-parent-tata


Compare that to the more than double figure given by JLR themselves for Jaguar's retail sales: http://newsroom.jaguarlandrover.com/en-in/jlr-corp/news/2012/10/jlr_sales_september_151012/?from=1&count=5&marketLanguageNodeId=1275&brandId=2830&ContentType=NewsArticles&locus=1


Looks like Tata, being a publicly quoted company, with all the legal and fiduciary obligations that go with that, has to be a teensy bit more careful about presenting nearer to reality figures than JLR's press office Alice in Wonderland figures.


Jaguar is in serious trouble. The media says its success knows no bounds; the people on the ground - the poor plebs who rely on it to make a wage - know differently. Jaguar's two main models, the XF and XJ, cannot hope to compete with a deluge of new models, myriad variants and technologies from the Germans, BMW, Audi and Mercedes-Benz. Ford tried to put Jaguar eye to eye with the Germans ten years ago, and it cost it a fortune. Jaguar needed a serious 3-series competitor, to replace the X-type, at least three years ago. Nothing has been done; Jaguar needed an SUV, to compete with the huge-selling Audi Q5 and BMW X3, but nothing was done, probably because JLR had no suitable platform, the Evoque/Freelander being front wheel drive platforms, without huge investment.


The point is, Manganese Bronze was not, and will not be alone. Too many have been caught up in the spin over the 'march of the makers', the supposed runaway success of the UK's automotive sector, the rebound of West Midlands manufacturing, linked to JLR in particular, and so on. There is no substitute for *real* cash investment, a highly trained workforce, and above all, a long-term, guardianship view of proprietorship, which was abundantly lacking at Manganese, with what looks like above all a get rich(er) quick scheme for the chiefs, and the indians sent down the road. Let's stop kidding each other and accept that past mistakes, rooted in human greed, have queered the pitch for many dependent on the making of things for a livelihood and finally accept that management, investment and attitude to ownership above all has to change before we can talk about all the flowery things, like design, innovation and supposed icons, else we and our children will end up in nothing but museums, dedicated to past glorious 'icons'.

Dave M said:

A fascinating read and I think that P Kelly's indsightful summing up of the menegement at Lti is bang on!

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