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The value of the alternative view

By Kate Cooper on Dec 8, 09 09:51 AM in Business

Manufacturing output static. The regional output gap at £15bn. 30% workless in the region, close to 40% in Birmingham.* Of the employed in 2008, only 15% in manufacturing, a figure which has fallen a further 11% this year. (see WMRO)

The seemingly relentless grip of old-style manufacturing on our psyche may shift at last.

PaulNurse.jpgOne-time Birmingham University biology student, Sir Paul Nurse is now President of Rockefeller University, and a Nobel Prize winner. Of his time in the city, Sir Paul writes in his Nobel autobiography he [a tutor] was hugely stimulating and entertaining, and although frequently wrong was always wrong in an interesting way. He taught me the value of the alternative view and also was the first to introduce me to the cell cycle with a project on the respiration rate of dividing fish eggs, a project which ended in complete disaster . . .

For those of you who don't know, his Nobel Prize was awarded for breakthroughs in our understanding of the cell cycle, stuff that has revolutionised cancer research and treatment. Many people, perhaps you, owe their lives to Paul's realisation as a young man to "the value of the alternative view", and to that piece of work that ended in "complete disaster".

Research, being about experiment, is also about failure, sometimes frequent failure. It's about evidence that challenges what's gone before, so overturns previous successes. This tradition of enquiry and dissent, of the value of the alternative view, is a thread through Paul Nurse's career. It was, too, very much part of Birmingham's early history. Our Victorian civic leaders were non-conformist almost to a man.

But this tradition of dissent has been thwarted in the city's more recent history perhaps because the churn of thousands of workshops and small factories in the 19th century gave way, or were held sway to the big automakers in the latter half of the 20th.

Time4ModelChange.jpgMichigan's Emeritus Professor Bolling described the automaking industry in his Foreword to Maxton & Wormald's Time for Model Change as populated by self-importance, lack of trust in partners, compulsive command-and-control behaviours, reluctance to relinquish territory, contempt for legal authority, squandering of resources and on, and on . . .

Perhaps it shouldn't surprise us that the alternative view isn't valued here in the early 21st century, but silenced or marginalised or just ignored.

Here are some alternative views:


  • The future of the West Midlands economy is not in manufacturing.

  • We have been increasingly marginalised in the global automotive industry over last 40 years to the point that we have but a tiny runt-end of it now.

  • Possibly a major driver of our economic recovery if it happens, and for sure a major beneficial influence on all our lives regardless of the regional GDP, is the work of our scientists. A current indicator of the value of science here is the Med School, one of the biggest and best in the world. It has 2100 medical students, 400 trainee nurses, 360 dentists, 240 physios and 240 biomedical undergrads -- and that, of course, doesn't include the pure science students, the Paul Nurses of the future here and in our other universities, nor the all the tutors and researchers we have in our hospitals and clinics as well as in academia.

Flash-1-Day.jpgI'm reminded of a scene in the Birmingham-made film 1 Day. Flash, the hero, is at a family meal, his mind taut with fear because Angel, the baddie, is out for money or his blood. At the table are his younger brother, still innocent, his mother and sister, Angel's lover, and Granma, big-hearted, devoted, wonderful Granma . . . who lets slip her creationist beliefs. Flash, a young man awake to the value of the alternative view, starts to speak with tetchy exasperation, it's the Big Bang . . . but his explanation tails off. For Granma is, implacably, Granma.

* In the light of the comments below, I have amended the original blog post in which I mentioned 30% unemployment. My apologies for confusing the terms "unemployed" and "workless" in the original, unamended blog post, and very many thanks to Oliver Nicholls of WMRO for the clarity of his explanation below.

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4 Comments

IanHalstead said:

Am all for alternative views, but who says the future of the WMids economy IS in manufacturing, and why the simplistic link with auto-making? Aerospace and transport technologies are far more important to the region's economy than motors. Very odd to suggest that the old-style manufacturing mindset remains, (at least on any scale) given the work of Warwick Manufacturing Group, MAS-WM, the unis (Aston and B'ham notably) and AWM in driving forward the implementation of new technologies, processes and products for 21st century manufacturers; in aerospace, bio-med, low-carbon transport, construction and more. Not sure how manufacturing is implicitly to blame for the output gap, and where on earth does a 30% unemployment figure come from?
10% in the West Mids acc to WMRO.

Kate Cooper said:

I'd appreciate the evidence that we're doing all this wonderful new-tech manufacturing. How many companies, start-ups, spin-outs? And what is their worth as a whole to the regional GDP?

30% unemployed: from Rosie Paskins'Foreword to the State of the Region 2009. The 30% is the number of people of working age who are not working, a better reflection of economic activity, or lack of it, than the 10% officially unemployed. Mind you, a shocking 23.4% of youngsters are officially unemployed, likely to be a significant under-estimate as many don't register so don't enter the figures.

It's actually 40% not 30% who are workless (perhaps a better word to use in this context) here in Birmingham.

Meanwhile . . . few outside academia seem to notice we have leading scientific researchers here, notably in life sciences and medicine. It is of great importance that we do notice them — and realise that culturally, they are very different from manufacturers and, for that matter, civil servants. They and their work is valuable in every sense of the word.

The science they work on is important. Their stance is valuable too. Paul Nurse is typical, scientists see value in the alternative view — so seek it.

We need to take great pride in our academics, treasure 'em! They are doing work that is our future. Sure, applied science is useful, and drives today's technologies. But it the unapplied science that counts for tomorrow, the research that has an unpredictable outcome, that might quite well end, as Paul Nurse's fish egg experiment did, in complete disaster

Output gap of £15bn . . . my argument is that our traditional manufacturing focus and culture, particularly that of the monocultural and monolithic, immensely powerful auto-industry, has blinded us to the value of dissent and dissenters, people who express not just the alternative view, but the value of the alternative view, too.

Let's be "hospitable to pirates" (I quote Charles Leadbeater)

To clarify some of the differences between measures of unemployment:

Official definitions of ‘unemployment’ only refer to those people who are actively seeking and available for work - the unemployment rate in the region is currently 10%.

However, there are many more people who are not working and not looking for or available for work – they along with the unemployed would be counted as ‘workless’. The 'worklessness' rate is currently 30% in the region and 38% in Birmingham.

It is also useful to look at claimants of Jobseekers Allowance (JSA), as this provides very up-to-date figures for those claiming unemployment benefit. But note that claimant levels are always lower than unemployment, as many people either choose not to claim or are ineligible.

It can be confusing, but 'worklessness' is important as it captures the many claimants of incapacity benefits etc. who are not counted as unemployed. In a nutshell, if you wanted to talk about long-term issues you would look at worklessness, but the short-term impact of the recession is best reflected in unemployment and claimant figures.

The Observatory has made a great deal of information available on the changing picture of employment in the region. Latest figures are analysed on our website every month (http://bit.ly/40qWqd). We also produce interactive maps (http://bit.ly/3T11cT) to show how JSA claimant rates are changing within the region. Our skills research (http://bit.ly/5IZxJP) has also examined growth sectors and skills needs.

Please contact us if you have any questions, or visit www.wmro.org

Kate Cooper said:

Very many thanks, Oliver, for clarifying issues re workless/unemployed terms, and for the links to WMRO info - and my apologies to all for being confusing in the blog.

An important aside from the blog's main argument re the impact of manufacturing on our psyche with our disregard of the value of the alternative view:

Manufacturing per se will not be the mass employer that, say, cotton, shipbuilding or automaking was a few decades ago. Nor will the scientific endeavour I mention in the blog employ many people, (though with an entrepreneurial context we evidently don't have and need seek to create, we could prosper as Silicon Fen has).

Meanwhile, the large number of workless people poses a big social issue. How can the workless whether officially unemployed or not, and particularly the workless young, be valued? How can the people involved, many marginalised, play their full part in the life of the city? They have much to offer for the common good.

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