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Predictions for 2013

By Russell Beale on Dec 18, 12 03:16 PM in Design

Whilst it's slightly early for the prediction season, I thought I'd put forward a few possibilities, based on some digital crystal gazing, some wistful looking off into space, a finger in the air and some personal perspective. Some of these may even come true.

1. Twitter rises, Facebook falls.....
Twitter has hit its stride as a social news source, with careful users eschewing celebrity gossip and banal minute-by-minute updates and instead receive and comment on breaking news that is pertinent to them. Meanwhile, Facebook use will hollow out - while it will continue to expand into new markets, older users will start using it less and less. Will this be the end of Facebook? As a social media company, possibly. But with a huge war chest and a lot of talented people, it can reinvent itself into whatever sort of company it wishes to.

2. Apple stumbles, but opens up new markets.
Apple Maps represented a seismic shift in the company. Without Steve Jobs, the search for perfection in user experience had been lost, and was (and is) a bit of an embarrassment. Products like the iPhone 5 are slight improvements over the 4, but we'd come to expect more. They need to turn round any complacency and refocus on UX. However, later in the year they'll announce a major move into home products - Apple TV will finally become worthy of the Apple name, and major initiatives towards integrated lighting, music, video, heating and other controllers create a major new market for them.

3. Disintermediation becomes a major buzzword, as a new organisation takes on high-street banks. With a huge online and international customer base, the organisation starts through supporting direct lending between individuals, but garners enough credence to be able to access international lending and government funding at very low rates of ~1% and passes this directly on to customers, offering mortgages and loans at similar low rates. People love it as it is both financially beneficial to them, and upsets the bankers by beating them at their own game.

4. New state proposed. Major players on the Internet make a semi-serious proposal to set the Internet up as a nation state, with its own tax and legal regime, to try and address trans-national issues. This state proposes to have relatively low taxes but a clear relationship with national tax authorities, to reduce legal tax avoidance issues, and uses the revenues to support enforcement of new laws governing corporate ethics, access to sensitive material, as well as supporting initiatives like Wikipedia and new entrepreneurs.

3 Comments

Click on the link below to see the story. I’ve
been saying it for years, but “reality” television needs to just go away.

From working on “30 Rock” as a writer with Tina Fey, to acting
on “Community” as Troy, to having his
beats played in Adidas commercials, Glover’s music has even made its way
into the speakers of the Weinstein Center for Recreation and Wellness.
“More people around the world are starting to have diets that are higher in protein,” Boehm said.
We didn’t talk a lot about it.

注目度抜群 議論が 値コメントです。 私は思うというあなたがする必要が |これで問題、それは 話すのに十分な タブー対象とはならないかもしれこのような話題について話す。次へ。乾杯

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Kate Cooper

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Russell Beale

Russell Beale - Professor of Human-Computer Interaction, University of Birmingham
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Roslyn Bill

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James Tucker - Reader in Supramolecular Chemistry, University of Birmingham
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Kenny Webster - Resident Scientist at Thinktank Birmingham
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Craig Jackson

Craig Jackson - Professor of Workplace Health Psychology and Head of the Psychology Dept at BCU
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Miriam Gifford

Miriam Gifford - A researcher in plant science in the School of Life Sciences & the Warwick Systems Biology Centre, University of Warwick
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Lucy Harper

Lucy Harper - Communications manager at the Society for Applied Microbiology

Chris Dyke

Chris Dyke - MedilinkWM Director driving collaboration between science and industry to develop innovative healthcare

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